First slowly, and then all at once, dreams of LLMs bringing us to the cusp of AGI have fallen apart. The last few months have been devastating:• June, 2025: the Apple reasoning paper confirmed that even with “reasoning”, LLMs still can’t solve distribution shift, the core Achille’s heel in neural networks that I have been writing about for nearly 30 years. Several other papers, include the ASU “Mirage“ paper quickly extended this finding.• August, 2025: GPT-5 came late and fell short. • Septembe...