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AI Is Learning to Predict the Future—And Beating Humans at It

The Brief September 19, 2025Reactions to Kimmel's suspension, Trump publicly rebukes Putin, and moreEvery three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a prize pot of about $5,000. Metaculus, a forecasting platform, poses questions of geopolitical importance such as “Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?” and “Will Israel strike the Iranian military again before September 2025?” Forecasters estimate the probabilities of the ev...

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